Here’s More Proof Kavanaugh Is Getting Confirmed

According to the betting odds from the political betting website PredictIt, Brett Kavanaugh’s odds of being confirmed on the Supreme Court surged following his defiant and emotional testimony yesterday and is now a near certainty. During Christine Blasey Ford’s testimony, Kavanaugh’s odds fell to a low of 40%, only to rebound and surge past 70% while testifying, as Kavanaugh refused to cower before the liberal questioning him (and at many occasions, drawing attention to the ridiculousness of it all).

Anyone willing to put their money where their mouths are realized that the Democrats attacks on Kavanaugh wouldn’t stick.

Here’s Kavanaugh’s chance of being confirmed over the past day, with the chart beginning in the middle of Ford’s testimony:

And by all indications, at least one Democrat will vote for Kavanaugh. According to PredictIt, there’s about a 2/3rds chance at least one Democrat for him.

When it comes to the specific number of votes, there’s only a 22% chance that Kavanaugh will receive 49 or fewer votes, implying a 78% chance of confirmation. The betting on the specific number of yes votes is as follows:

50 votes – 12%

51 votes – 22%

52 votes – 34%

53 votes – 11%

So, most betting is on 51 or 52 votes specifically.

There are 51 Republican Senators, and the one Democrat expected to vote for Kavanaugh is Joe Manchin, who represents a largely pro-Trump constituency.

https://twitter.com/elainaplott/status/1045478279220797440

The only Senators who could break Kavanaugh’s confirmation would be Lisa Murkowski, Susan Collins, or Jeff Flake. With a Manchin vote, all three would have to vote against Kavanaugh to derail his nomination, which is extremely unlikely.

And that’s not going to happen.

Flake now says he’ll vote to confirm Kavanaugh.

Susan Collins is reportedly undecided, though given the threats of violence and extortion from the Left in an attempt to intimidate her to vote “no,” perhaps she’ll vote “yes” to spite them. Collins has also questioned the timing of Dianne Feinstein bringing Christine Ford’s charges forward, meaning she could interpret them as political.

There’s no word on Murkowski, but with Flake voting to confirm Kavanaugh, that’s irrelevant. Liberal activists are aggressively targeting Murkowski in an attempt to influence a “no” vote.

Either way, it won’t make a difference.

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The Democrats tried to stop Kavanaugh by turning his confirmation into a circus – but everyone saw through the theatrics for what it was.