Black Support for Trump Reaching ‘Danger Zone’ for Democrats

President Donald Trump’s approval rating has been trending upward ahead of the 2018 midterms, and that should bode well for Republican candidates. Rasmussen’s daily Presidential tracking poll puts Trump’s approval at 48 percent today, higher than Obama at the same point during his Presidency.

Furthermore, the RNC has vastly out-fundraised the DNC. The RNC raised $157.7 million so far this year and has $42.4 million in cash on hand. By contrast, the DNC has raised just $79 million in total over the same period, and just $10.1 million in cash on hand.

Generic Democrat and Republican midterm candidates are polling within the margin of error according to CNN’s polls.

We reported last week that Trump’s approval among black men doubled in one week after the rapper Kanye West expressed support for him. While it’s unclear if that was the cause for the sudden uptick in support among black men, black support for Trump overall is crossing into a “danger zone” for Democrats.

According to the latest The latest YouGov/Economist poll (May 6-8), among African-Americans, 16 percent approve of Trump, 10 percent are not sure, and 75 percent disapprove. It should be noted that YouGov puts Trump’s overall approval among registered voters at 41 percent, which is lower than other polls.

While 16 percent support for Trump seems low, blacks generally vote for Democrats by larger margins in national elections.  For instance, Mitt Romney only got 7 percent of the black vote. Trump received a similar share, eight percent. Sixteen percent approval represents a doubling of Trump’s approval among black voters.

And according to The Federalist, YouGov/The Economist isn’t the only poll showing this positive trend for Trump’s approval:

Marist’s March 19-21 approval for Trump among black Americans was 6 percent; 17 percent were unsure, and 77 percent disapproved. The Quinnipiac poll, which is consistently negative to Trump, on March 21 found black approval at 11 percent, “Don’t Know” at 4 percent, and disapproval at 84 percent. Taken in the aggregate, the three polls have Trump’s approval at 11 percent, at 12 percent for not sure or don’t know, and disapproval at 77 percent. Again, while the negatives are high, the positives are higher than is typical for Republicans, and if black Americans vote in accord with these approval ratings it would be easily enough to tip a tight election.

In all, this would mean hundreds of thousands fewer votes for Democrats in a Presidential election if these trends hold, and some of the effects could be seen in the midterms.

Do you think growing African American support for Trump will help Republicans in the midterms? Let us know your thoughts in the comments section below! 


Matt is the co-founder of Unbiased America and a freelance writer specializing in economics and politics. He’s been published in The American Thinker, Rare, The Foundation for Economic Education, The Ludwig von Mises Institute, and National Review. He is the author of the new book A Paradoxical Alliance: Islam and the Left. Follow him on Twitter at @MattPalumbo12.

View Comments

  • Obama lowered the bar substantially for ethical standards and telling the truth. He spent eight years trying to destroy America! Our FBI is corrupt and dangerous!

    Thank God for President Trump!

    America First!

  • Why does anyone think the Dems are suddenly screaming "reparations...?" All they know how to do is BUY votes... illegally import votes... or coerce votes...

  • They are feeling the effects of having a good job. They know who has created such an environment. Now it is time for them to help get more to follow and support President Trump.

  • It is a wonderful thing to see that more and more blacks are waking up to the truth. It is becoming apparent that trickery and lies on the part of so many liberals are coming home to roust.

  • I have never understood the black vote for Democrats since that is the party that has consistently voted against them starting with emancipation and continuing on through our history through the civil rights act, segregation, etc. Really puzzles me. But I heard recently from that lovely young lady, Candace, that if the Dems receive "only" 85% of the black vote, they will lost; they need more than that. So maybe that section of our population is finally waking up?

  • About time the Blacks want to stop dumbing up to the democrats; the dems have given them no opportunity welfare (unless one is a dead beat) and made them look foolish over voting rights, among others.
    Looks like B. Obama and the democrats did not deliver them to the place they wanted to be.

  • Dumbocrats were the ones who owned slaves, dumbocrats started KKK. Why would anyone vote for their enemy? I'm glad many are not going to vote for them anymore. Too many people have been miss lead by the dumbocrats for too long, they want to destroy the USA.

  • These articles keep mentioning that Republicans are raising more money than Democrats yet this old woman keeps getting emails begging for money that I do not have because they desperately need it. I hope more Blacks and Mexican-Americans get out from under the thumb of the democrats ands quit voting over and over again for crooks.

  • I guess they are sick and tired of the empty promises from the D.C entitled establishment. Year after year - decade after decade the same ol s**t. Promise the moon and deliver nothing. Things in this country have gotten worse over the years not better. It's time to put - AMERICA AND AMERICANS FIRST - just like President Trump said he would do and is doing it.

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