Many voters will understand what I mean when I have come to the conclusion that Senator Ted Cruz cannot win the general election. And it’s very simple, it doesn’t take all day to break it down piece by piece.
If you look at the road to the Republican National Convention and the delegates needed to win the nomination, I agree wholeheartedly with Senator Cruz that Sen. Marco Rubio and Gov. John Kasich do not have a pathway to winning the nomination with the remaining states left.
But after that, I also have to say that if nominated by the GOP, Cruz can’t win the general election because he can’t bring over votes from the other side of the political aisle. That’s why Cruz is dead wrong to call on Rubio and Kasich to drop out of the GOP race.
From Politico:
Ted Cruz on Monday urged voters not to back John Kasich or Marco Rubio, saying only he could do what they couldn’t: beat Donald Trump.
“If you’re here today, or at home watching on TV thinking about supporting Marco Rubio or John Kasich, I say to you, they are good men but they do not have a path for winning,” the Texas senator said here at a rally at a civic center. “It’s mathematically impossible for them to win, so I say, ‘Come and join us, we welcome you with open arms.’”
Cruz’s remarks came at his third of a five-swing stop through Illinois Monday, a state where his team sees opportunities to rack up delegates in Tuesday’s contest, and where polls show the gap between Cruz and Trump narrowing, with the possibility emerging that Cruz could pull ahead into first place. His events here also come as the Trump campaign scrambles to reset in Illinois, following the news that his campaign director here was sidelined and a Friday night rally in Chicago shuttered over fears of violent protests.
As I said earlier, Cruz is using a common sense approach, but he’s not being truthful about his own chances. Cruz’s Election Day message is wrapped up for the Evangelicals with a constitutional blanket, but he’s not reaching out to minorities and I feel that’s a huge mistake.
Donald Trump has tapped into a message that includes illegal immigration, building a wall, attacking the status quo as an outsider who has never been elected, connecting with blue-collar workers, and all of this equates to bringing in hundreds of thousands of new voters to the Republican Party.
Believe it or not, the GOP is going to need these votes to defeat the Democrats in November. If you are a Cruz fan, and you’re reading this right now, you are not happy with my analysis, but it’s true.
H/T: Politico
Do you think I am using common sense in how I just broke it down to you or am I a Trump supporter with no idea of what I’m talking about? Share your comments below and add this to your Twitter or Facebook Page to see what your friends or family thoughts on this subject are.
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Yes, Ted Cruz may have a chance to beat Trump if the Sun forgets to rise but he cannot bring in the new voters needed or bring in Democrats who have awakened to the destructive power of the democratic party. Trump has brought in Hundreds of thousands or maybe even millions of new voters and has brought over Democrats who see our Nation slipping away and if Cruz and Kasich would bow out then Trump would have the full path open to the nomination and the establishment would not be able to stop him and put in anyone they choose! The establishment does not care about We the People, they have shown this over the past 50 years, and this goes for both sides! Just look at what is happening with the democratic party and hillary and look at what the Republicans are considering doing with putting up a third party candidate! We the People must force them to give us the President we want and must learn that if they do not take our Nation back to the way it was meant to be then they are going to lose every time against us!
Problem with the analysis is that no recent polls show, head to head, Trump beats Clinton. Trump has very high unfavorables compared to Clinton. Some polls do show Cruz beating Clinton. Go to Realclearpolitics to see recent polls. In the March 9 poll ( most recent general election poll) Clinton +13 over Trump, but only +2 over Cruz. A 2% deficit is a lot easier to overcome than a 13% deficit. The idea swathes of Hispanics or other minorities will move over to Trump just isn't borne out by polling numbers. Trump supporters love polls when they supports Trump, but the polls don't look promising for a Trump presidency. Let's take Florida. Trump wins among Republicans, but Clinton wins among Floridians. She beats Cruz by 5, but Trump by 8 (3/13/16 NBC/Marist/WSJ). In fact, if you go down all the 3/15 primary states, Trump may win the primary, but loses the general election in those states by a larger margin than does Cruz, sometimes by double digit differences. If Trumpkins are going by polls, it is Trump who should pull out to let a candidate who has a better chance of winning in November go ahead.
Nicholas,
Cruz is ineligible as he is not a Natural Born Citizen, and you can site just as many polls to show Trump would beat chillary as you can Cruz beating her, BESIDES Cruz is not honest! I do not like person who proclaims over And over that they are a Christian and then turns around àñd does what he has done! I Love what Cruz stands for in his speeches but after the Obumbler fiasco I could not vote for someone who is not a Natural Born Citizen!
Hillary won't last 5 months with Mr Trump,I don't care what the pundits think.A 74 year old socialist prop is wearing her out....
I've been saying the same thing for weeks now. Trump is bringing in a lot of independents, democrats, libertarians and republicans. Cruz won't beat Hillary with just the republican votes.
I don't think you have it correct. I do think Ted Cruz has a chance. Maybe a slim chance but he still has one. There will be a large contingent of 'never Trump' right-of-center who will decide to stay home, vote third party, or even back Hillary in the general. I do not think Trump has any chance to beat Hillary. Hillary is a miserable choice, but Trump's sleaziness manages to exceed even Hillarys.