The special Senate election in Alabama is a bit of an anomaly. As sexual misconduct scandals have been destroying the careers of actors, media figures, politicians, and the like, Republican candidate Roy Moore has been tarnished with the baggage of such accusations…. and has still been ahead in nearly all polls.
Moore saw a boost in support following an endorsement from President Trump, and the revelation that one of those accusing him had at least fabricated part of her story.
LAST thing the Make America Great Again Agenda needs is a Liberal Democrat in Senate where we have so little margin for victory already. The Pelosi/Schumer Puppet Jones would vote against us 100% of the time. He’s bad on Crime, Life, Border, Vets, Guns & Military. VOTE ROY MOORE!
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) December 8, 2017
Things were looking good for Moore, until, that is, today. A new Fox News poll out this morning shows Moore’s challenger with a 10-point lead. According to the report, Democrat Doug Jones holds a substantial lead over Moore in the deep red State.
Greater party loyalty plus higher interest in the election among Democrats combined with more enthusiasm among Jones supporters gives him the advantage in the race to fill the U.S. senate seat previously held by U.S. Attorney General Jeff Sessions.
Jones receives 50 percent to Moore’s 40 percent, with 1-in-10 undecided (8 percent) or supporting another candidate (2 percent) — which could make a difference Tuesday. That’s even truer with such an unconventional election with unconventional candidates.
However, while the Fox News poll found Jones up, those putting their money where their mouths are are implying that nothing has changed…. at all. We can look at the betting odds for this particular race on the gambling site PredictIt, and garner implied odds from the bets placed (for instance, if you have to bet 80 cents on Moore to win 20 cents, there’s an implied 80 percent chance of his victory).
And according to those stats, Jones’s odds of victory are still only about 1 in 4.
So according to that, things are far from over. Of course, we’ll have to wait until election day to know for sure. The special election will take place tomorrow in Alabama.
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