A new poll shows Republican gains with Latinos are being driven by conservative-leaning voters who have swung massively away from the Democrat party and now represent a solid GOP base.
The finding is described by NBC News reporter Mark Murray as “fascinating.”
Murray notes that an NBC News/Telemundo poll from 2012 shows conservative Latinos wanted Democrats to control Congress by a 9-point margin.
Today, that number has shifted toward Republicans by a 56-point measure.
“That’s a net 65-point swing in a decade, and it helps to explain how Republicans have cut into Democrats’ lead among Latino voters,” an NBC report reveals.
This was maybe the most fascinating finding from our recent NBC News/Telemundo poll:
Conservative Latinos went from D+9 in congressional preference in 2012 (per our merged polls), to R+56 now.
— Mark Murray (@mmurraypolitics) October 5, 2022
Conservative and Moderate Latinos Flocking to Republicans
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Conservative Latinos aren’t the only group shifting away from Democrats and more toward the Republican party. The same poll shows moderates from that demographic have gone from D+49 to D+32.
Those voters described as liberal Latinos have shifted even further towards Democrats, going from D+65 to D+80.
The numbers seem to align with most other polls which show hardline liberals moving further toward the Democrats while conservative and more independent voters are moving to the right.
POLL: Conservative Latinos have gone from Democratic-leaning voters in 2012 to GOP base voters now.
More than 70% of conservative Latinos say they prefer Republicans in control of Congress.
— Meet the Press (@MeetThePress) October 5, 2022
The Political Insider’s Remso Martinez warned that Democrats may finally feel the pain of losing Latino voters in the 2022 midterms.
Martinez points out that Latinos aren’t supporters of “the Democrats’ extreme stances regarding access to abortion up until birth, as well as the extreme issues surrounding the LGBTQ+ movement and their attempt to completely distort traditional family values.”
Paola Ramos travels to South Texas to explore the rightward shift of Latino voters in the Rio Grande Valley. Watch “Field Report with Paola Ramos,” tonight at 10pm ET on @MSNBC, and streaming on @PeacockTV pic.twitter.com/sSEV3BzLYt
— MSNBC (@MSNBC) September 23, 2022
Trump Celebrates Republican Leadership For Delivering For Latinos
Former President Donald Trump, at a Hispanic Leadership Conference in Miami on Wednesday, celebrated “one of the fastest growing groups in the entire country – proud, Hispanic Conservatives and Republicans.”
He pointed to Republican policies that have improved the lives of conservative Latinos.
“Under our leadership, household income for Hispanic Americans reached an all-time high, and Hispanic American unemployment rate reached an all-time low,” he said.
Telemundo polls show that Latinos are not just walking away from the DNC, but are running to the GOP conservative Latinos have risen by up to 73% @dougmastriano @carrieforpa @DrOz @PAGOP @MikeCarterTV @Laurenjmayk @BryanLlenas @WalterPerez6abc @salvadorduran @floridian_gop pic.twitter.com/cXke8nF6f0
— Real Hamlet Garcia (@Hamletgarcia17) October 6, 2022
Bloomberg News pointed out that the GOP is setting records with the number of Hispanic and Black candidates on the ballot in 2022.
“Thirty Hispanic and 24 Black Republicans are on ballots for House races, part of an even larger group of nearly 200 Black and Latino Republicans who ran in primaries — both record figures,” they wrote.
The Political Insider’s Becky Noble has been following the story of the three Republican women on the border; Mayra Flores, Adrienne Pena-Garza, and Hilda Garza-DeShazo.
I voted for Mayra Flores – first time I ever voted Republican.
Massive red wave in 2022.
— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) June 15, 2022
Flores defeated Democrat Dan Sanchez in a special election to fill the vacant seat in Texas’ 34th Congressional District in June, becoming the first Mexican-born Congresswoman.
She also earned the honor of being the first Republican Tesla CEO Elon Musk claims to have ever voted for.
If a red wave does come in the midterms, it might just be conservative Latinos who help deliver it.
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