New Poll Shows 34% Of U.S. Voters Think Second Civil War Is ‘Likely’


According to a new poll, one in three voters believes that America could face another civil war in the near future as unrest over racial tension, police brutality, and the 2020 presidential election continues across the country.

1 in 3 American Voters Say Second Civil War ‘Likely’

A Rasmussen Reports poll released Monday showed that 34 percent of likely voters think that within the next five years, the United States could have a second civil war. Nine percent said it is “very likely.”

Rasmussen noted, “This compares to 31 percent and 11 percent respectively two years ago.”


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When looking at party divisions on this question, 40 percent of Republicans said a second civil war was “on the horizon,” while only 28 percent of Democrats agreed. Meanwhile, 38 percent of Independent voters believe another U.S. civil war is possible.

The Rasmussen survey also asked about local governments removing Confederate memorials as well as the nationwide Black Lives Matter protests.

Rasmussen reported, “Thirty-nine percent (39 percent) of all voters believe the removal of Confederate symbols, names and monuments throughout the country honoring those who fought in the first civil war will help race relations. Twenty-seven percent (27 percent) disagree and think it will hurt race relations instead.”

Just Three Years Ago, More Americans Thought Removing Confederate Symbols Would Hurt More than Help

“These numbers are reversed from August 2017 when 28 percent said removal of the symbols would help race relations, while 39 percent thought it would hurt instead,” Rasmussen noted. “Little changed is the 28 percent who think the removal of public traces of the Confederacy will have no impact.”

Rasmussen continued, “Women and those under 40 are more supportive of the current anti-police protests and the anti-Confederacy drive than men and older voters.”

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“Younger voters worry most about another civil war,” Rasmussen noted. “Just 29 percent of blacks believe the current protests will lead to long-term, meaningful racial change in America, compared to 35 percent of whites and 48 percent of other minority voters.”

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Blacks Far More Confident than Whites That Removing Confederate Statues Will Ease Racial Tension

As for voters attitudes broken down by race, Rasmussen reported, “Blacks (54 percent) are far more confident than whites (36 percent) and other minorities (40 percent), however, that the removal of Confederate symbols, names and monuments will help race relations.”

As for voters who think taking down Confederate symbols and erasing that history will hurt race relations, a full half – 50 percent – believe a civil war is possible over the next half decade.

Rasmussen’s survey took place between June 11 and 14, where 1,000 likely voters were polled, with a  margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3 percentage points.

is a professional writer and editor with over 15 years of experience in conservative media and Republican politics. He... More about John Hanson

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