The poll was conducted August 24-26 using 627 respondents.

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After these three, Kamala Harris came in at ten percent support and Andrew Yang held fifth place at four percent. Pete Buttigieg, Cory Booker, and Tulsi Gabbard all had three percent support each. Beto O’Rourke clocked in at two percent, with the remaining candidates getting one percent or less.

When you’re that low, it’s worth noting that the margin of error is +/- 3.9 percent.


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“Mayor Pete Buttigieg has seen his poll numbers drop all summer and is now at three percent, behind Andrew Yang who is at four percent,” Spencer Kimball, Director of Emerson Polling, said. “Mayor Pete has raised enough money to stay in the race for now but will need a strong debate performance to remain relevant.”

Democrat Voters Becoming More Sure About Their Candidate

This poll has a little more relevance than some past surveys precisely because it shows Democratic voters are beginning to get more firmly behind their choices. 50 percent of primary voters now claim that they will “definitely vote” for their chosen candidate, which is a nine percent jump from July.

Biden and Sanders have the most consistent voters, according to Emerson, with 63 percent of Biden supporters and 62 percent of Sanders backers saying they have settled on either man as their candidate and will not be casting votes for the other candidate.

“Additionally, 45% of Warren supporters and 39% of Harris supporters say they will stick with their choice,” Emerson Polling added.

Emerson also examined hypothetical general election match-ups, showing Biden and Sanders would be the only two at the moment who could defeat President Trump.

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Bye Bye Joe?

This good news for Sanders comes one day after the Monmouth University Poll on Monday that showed Biden falling to third place with 19 percent support, and both Warren and Sanders tied for the lead, garnering 20 percent support each.

While Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren continue to make traction in various polls, Biden continues to slip.

Many within the party still Joe Biden their best chance of beating Donald Trump. If true, Democrats chances of doing that seem to be slipping away fast.