Many Iowans Still Have No Idea Who They’ll Be Voting for in February’s Democrat Caucuses

By David Kamioner | January 2, 2020

Although there are clear leaders in the February 3 Democratic caucuses in Iowa — the first Democrat nomination contest of the presidential campaign — many voters still have not completely made up their minds, The Des Moines Register reported on Wednesday.

That should make the 2020 Dem frontrunners nervous — while also boding well for potential dark-horse candidates.

In the last Real Clear Politics poll average reported in December, Mayor Pete Buttigieg of South Bend, Indiana, was the leader — trailed by Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) and former Vice President Joe Biden.

But the mayor’s lead was only with 25 percent.

In a poll immediately preceding that, 62 percent of Iowa Democrat voters said they could still be persuaded to vote for someone else.

If a top contender were to emerge (surprisingly) out of Iowa, it would not be the first time the early contests had a dramatic impact on a presidential race.

Iowa is not a primary, but a caucus.

A caucus is a vote held in small gatherings in places like homes and reported to local election offices. It is not a traditional vote at a polling place. Thus, the challenge is to a great part organizational and logistical — that is, getting your people to the right place at the right time.

So as much of a test as it is for straight popular support, it also can determine how efficiently the press, donors, and its own staff perceive a campaign.

Related: Julian Castro Drops Out of the 2020 Primary Race

It sets up the playing field for the New Hampshire primary, a normal primary vote process — where surprises are expected.

In 1968, President Lyndon Johnson won the Dem primary there — but not by enough against new-Left candidate Sen. Eugene McCarthy (D-Minn.). Johnson dropped out of the race.

In 1992, conservative pundit Pat Buchanan beat incumbent President George H.W. Bush in New Hampshire. That win for hard-Right Buchanan presaged much of the Right’s staying at home that year rather than voting for Bush against Democrat Bill Clinton in November.

Combined with the general-election challenge from billionaire entrepreneur Ross Perot, who ran as an independent — Bush lost the race and the presidency.

So while there is a month before the Iowa caucuses and trends are turning into verified support, no candidate or his or her staffs can take anything for granted in that state until the last caucus result is reported.

This piece originally appeared in LifeZette and is used by permission.

Read more at LifeZette:
A Telling Tale of Two Embassies
The Seven Biggest Political Losers of 2019
Seven Top Political Predictions for 2020


Recent Posts

Elon Musk Loses Title of World’s Richest Person After Buying Twitter

Could it be that there are some things more important than money? For Elon Musk,…

12 hours ago

Washington Post: Shark Week is Racist and Overrepresents Men Named Mike

The Washington Post somehow managed to come up with an article that the Babylon Bee…

14 hours ago

Think There’s No Housing Recession? Economists Say Think Again

If you were thinking about selling your house in 2023, you might want to think…

14 hours ago

Public Libraries Allow Drag Queen Story Time But Not Kirk Cameron’s Book

I remember growing up and hearing kids excitedly talk about new books they had just…

15 hours ago

State Dept Paid $275K for Video Game to ‘Counter Disinformation’

By Adam Andrzejewski for RealClearPolicy The State Department spent $275,000 to develop a video game for people…

17 hours ago

Cotton Slams ‘Woke’ Kroger CEO to His Face For Asking Republicans to Save Them From Dem Regulations: ‘Best of Luck’

Senator Tom Cotton dressed down 'woke' Kroger CEO for expecting Republicans to rescue them from…

18 hours ago