Three new national polls released this week show Joe Biden is still the Democratic frontrunner for the party’s presidential nomination, but Elizabeth Warren is gaining steam.
Biden Still Leads the Pack
The IBD/TIPP Poll showed Biden leading the field at 28 percent support from registered Democrats and Democrat-leaning independent voters. But Warren had 24 percent support, just four points behind Biden. This also puts Warren up seven-point from last month’s poll.
Bernie Sanders came in a full 12 points behind Warren, garnering only 12 percent support. Kamala Harris got fourth with six percent, a drastic fall from 11 percent support in August.
Pete Buttigieg got fifth place with five percent support, followed by Cory Booker with four percent.
#NEW #National IBD/TIPP Poll:
Biden 28%
Warren 24%
Sanders 12%
Harris 6%
Buttigieg 5%
Booker 4%https://t.co/HwMlBp5QGC— Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) September 3, 2019
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Sanders did better in the Morning Consult poll. Biden was in the lead again with 32 percent support, but Bernie received 20 percent. Warren came in in third with 16 percent support, followed by Harris with eight percent and Buttigieg with five percent. Beto O’Rourke, Andrew Yang, and Cory Booker all got three percent.
Warren in Third But Sees a Big Jump
The Harvard CAPS/Harris poll, conducted in late August reflected the Morning Consult’s results, with Biden leading at 32 percent. Sanders got 16 percent support, followed by Warren with 13 percent. The Hill noted Warren’s 13 percent as a “5-point jump since the last Harvard CAPS/Harris poll.”
As in other polls, Harris came in fourth place with seven percent support, Buttigieg got four percent, Booker received three percent, and Yang got two percent support.
New (top-rated by 538) poll has Biden at 28 and Warren at 24. https://t.co/OX9ac4IJL6
— Scott Stedman (@ScottMStedman) September 3, 2019
What’s Next?
What all of these polls suggest is that Democratic voters are beginning to solidify their choices and perhaps some of the lower-tier candidates are simply spinning their wheels at this point. Biden, Sanders and Warren have consistently led the pack, with it being Uncle Joe’s primary to lose.
Could these numbers change? Anything is possible. On September 12 in Houston, Texas, all three will be on the same debate stage at the same time for the very first time this election. Will Biden make more gaffes? Will someone bring up “Fauxcahontas?” Will socialist Bernie sound like a crazy person? Correction: Will he sound crazier than usual?
Safe money it will come down to one of these three.
God help us.