Democrat Pollster: Primaries Show Trump’s Reelection Chances Greater Than Polls Indicate

Former top Clinton confidante and Democrat pollster Doug Schoen believes President Trump was a big winner following the results of Tuesday’s primaries.

Writing in an op-ed for Fox News, Schoen lays out how candidates backed by Trump claimed victory having “unquestionably benefited significantly from the president’s support.”

Delving deeper into the weeds, Schoen explains how this could bode well for his chance of reelection.

“In many ways, the weight of Trump’s endorsements in Alabama and Texas signals that the president’s current chances for reelection may be stronger than national polls indicate,” he wrote.

In other words, we’re seeing signs that polls aren’t indicative of the actual national mood when it comes to voters actually casting their ballots. Sound familiar?

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Polls Are Lying

A poll commissioned by the Alabama Forestry Association (AFA) last month had former Auburn University football coach Tommy Tuberville and former senator and attorney general Jeff Sessions in a dead heat for the GOP nomination for the Senate seat in Alabama.

Sessions internal polling had suggested he held a 6-point lead.

What has happened in the month since those polls? The media has told you the President’s approval numbers have declined sharply. That the GOP has lost any hope of retaining the Senate. That it’s over.

Instead, Tuberville, who had a full endorsement from the President trounced Sessions, 60-39 percent. A whopping 21-point victory.

Did the silent majority speak out, or what?

“Trump’s endorsement clearly carried more weight with voters than Sessions’ endorsements from prominent Republicans and his former Republican Senate colleagues,” Schoen surmised.

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More Winning

Schoen also notes that Trump-backed candidate Ronny Jackson saw a great victory in Texas as well.

“Meanwhile, in Texas former White House physician Dr. Ronny Jackson, who was endorsed by Trump, won his primary for a U.S. House seat, beating out Josh Winegarner,” he explained. “Winegarner was endorsed by the outgoing Republican Rep. Mac Thornberry, who did not seek reelection.”

The Democrat pollster warned in June that polls were overstating Joe Biden’s standing when it comes to the 2020 election.

“Aspects of public polling that exaggerate Biden’s lead combined with the challenges that both he and Trump currently face will make the result of the election much closer than it currently appears it will be,” wrote Schoen.

Stony Brook professor Helmut Norpoth, who has correctly predicted 5 of the last 6 elections including 2016 has said Trump has a “91 percent” chance of winning in November.

The silent majority will have to step forward in droves in November to make that prediction come true. Do you plan on being a part of it?

Rusty Weiss has been covering politics for over 15 years. His writings have appeared in the Daily Caller, Fox... More about Rusty Weiss

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