Senator Ted Cruz (R-TX) had an impressive victory over conservative businessman Donald J. Trump in last night’s Wisconsin GOP presidential primary. And for the first time since mid-2015, he has been tied in some national polling.
However, even with the addition of delegates from WI, it’s still mathematically impossible for Cruz to secure the the nomination before a brokered RNC convention in Cleveland, Ohio.
There are only 769 delegates remaining, and the next contest is on Trump’s home turf: New York. New York, with a large population has 95 delegates, which is winner-take-all if one candidate gets 50% plus 1 vote.
If Trump wins New York, he will lead with 853 delegates, and Cruz will not be able to make it to 1,237.
Why is that? Because Cruz would NEED 732 delegates, and there will only be 674 obtainable before the convention!
That’s why New York is far more important than Wisconsin, which is why so much focus will now shift toward New York.
As the Gateway Pundit notes, there’s every reason to believe Cruz will really drop out on or before April 26:
Actually, in only 3 weeks, on April 26th, it will be clear that Ted Cruz cannot win.
This is in part because New York is leaning heavily towards Trump who leads according to polls listed at Real Clear Politics by as much as 36%. New York has a Republican primary where the delegates are split proportionally. So even if Cruz wins a third of the delegates, it won’t be enough. This is because come April 26th, there are five Republican Presidential primaries and three of these are winner take all (WTA). All three of these states are in the East where polls show Trump leading (Maryland and Pennsylvania) or there is no polling available with the state highly likely leaning towards Trump (Delaware).
Even if Cruz wins a third of the delegates in Rhode Island or Connecticut or any of these states, it will not be enough to keep him mathematically in the race.
That’s why it can be comfortably predicted that if Trump has to deal with a contested convention, it won’t be against Ted Cruz. Instead, it will be a candidate the establishment supports – perhaps someone who isn’t even on the ballot yet!
But there is no question, Ted Cruz is on his way out. The clock starts now.
What do you think about it being mathematically impossible for Ted Cruz? Please leave us a comment (below) and tell us.